Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.011193 0.013609 0.016666 0.020917 0.026847 0.035114 0.048085
2024-10-27 0.008656 0.011512 0.015650 0.022450 0.034203 0.055778 0.105469
2024-11-03 0.007431 0.010490 0.015359 0.024424 0.043121 0.087678 0.248924
2024-11-10 0.006643 0.009821 0.015270 0.026548 0.053929 0.139878 0.722844
2024-11-17 0.005810 0.008853 0.014339 0.026565 0.060137 0.193622 2.141492
2024-11-24 0.005130 0.007998 0.013371 0.026073 0.064769 0.257240 9.179123
2024-12-01 0.004450 0.007027 0.011958 0.024016 0.063089 0.288037 40.572857
2024-12-08 0.003970 0.006348 0.011000 0.022778 0.063547 0.341468 14204.147541
2024-12-15 0.003661 0.005946 0.010539 0.022686 0.068519 0.467750 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003453 0.005707 0.010374 0.023358 0.077730 0.744765 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003238 0.005423 0.010059 0.023491 0.084932 1.147796 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002988 0.005043 0.009460 0.022566 0.085761 1.470931 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002774 0.004739 0.009060 0.022394 0.092837 2.606097 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002668 0.004651 0.009170 0.024053 0.116524 12.121148 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002590 0.004607 0.009376 0.026228 0.152771 2225.908057 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002517 0.004564 0.009581 0.028578 0.204166 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002374 0.004347 0.009269 0.028597 0.229522 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002231 0.004112 0.008869 0.028053 0.246445 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002053 0.003784 0.008158 0.025778 0.225702 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001917 0.003541 0.007662 0.024413 0.220504 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001827 0.003399 0.007439 0.024311 0.242213 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001767 0.003319 0.007384 0.025052 0.291042 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001697 0.003209 0.007227 0.025199 0.330300 NaN NaN